2024-04-26 20:09:11

Federal Reserve's Inflation Gauge and Market Expectations

Recent data regarding the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, indicates persistent high inflation rates in March, complicating the possibility of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This development has influenced investor sentiment, leading to Treasury yields rising and stocks falling.

Market expectations for rate cuts have shifted, with analysts now speculating on the timing and likelihood of any reductions, as economic growth slows and inflation remains a concern. The uncertainty surrounding rate adjustments has caused reevaluation of expectations, with some even contemplating the potential for a rate hike amidst the current economic landscape.

The Street
28. April 2024 um 00:46

U.S. growth slowdown, with inflation spike, raises early stagflation risks

Economy
Finance
The U.S. economy experienced a significant growth slowdown in the last quarter, expanding at an annualized rate of 1.6% compared to the previous quarter's 3.4%. This slowdown, coupled with a spike in inflation, has raised concerns of stagflation. As inflation pressures remain elevated and growth decelerates, the Federal Reserve is being cautious about rate cuts, and market expectations for rate reductions have decreased.
The Street
29. April 2024 um 12:46

Thought the Fed would give us an interest-rate break in '24? Think again

Finance
Economy
The Federal Reserve may be reluctant to cut interest rates in 2024 due to signs of resurgence in inflation. The first-quarter Gross Domestic Product report showed slowing economic growth but stronger-than-expected inflation. Investors and traders were expecting rate cuts, but now the betting is maybe two, with the first in November.
The Street
29. April 2024 um 16:46

Stock Market Today: Google surge powers tech as markets eye inflation data

Finance
Technology
Economy
US equity futures are higher as investors await a crucial inflation reading and tech stocks, such as Alphabet and Microsoft, post strong earnings. The market's modest advance for the week is expected to be maintained. Intel shares slumped after lower-than-expected Q1 earnings, while Chevron beat profit forecasts thanks to higher production volumes.
New York Times - Business
26. April 2024 um 20:07

The Fed’s Favorite Inflation Index Remained Stubborn in March

Economy
Finance
The Federal Reserve's key inflation gauge showed stubbornness in March, indicating that price increases are lasting longer than expected, potentially delaying interest rate cuts. Market expectations for rate reductions have decreased as inflation remains above the Fed's 2 percent target, prompting policymakers to reassess future rate decisions. Despite solid economic growth, some economists speculate on the possibility of the Fed raising rates again in the future.
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