2024-07-31 23:55:08
Markets
Economy
Banking

Investors Analyze Central Bank Meetings as Fed Considers Rate Cut in September

Investors are closely analyzing the upcoming meetings of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England as monetary policy decisions have become key drivers of the market. While there is some expectation that the Fed will cut rates in September, the market consensus still points to a delay until then.

The Fed is closely monitoring inflation prospects and the labor market, and more evidence of disinflation is needed before implementing a less restrictive monetary policy. The main risk is the November presidential elections, as the possibility of President Trump's return to the White House and a sharp increase in import tariffs could limit the Fed's room for maneuver.

Despite the uncertainty, some experts are optimistic and expect interest rates in the US to fall twice this year and to be cut once a quarter in 2025. The decision on rate cuts will also impact other countries, such as Hong Kong, which is closely following the Fed's monetary policy.

While the Bank of Japan has hiked interest rates, the potential dovish turn of the Federal Reserve could contribute to a rebound in stock markets. Overall, investors are eagerly awaiting the central banks' decisions and communication regarding future rate cuts.

The Street
1. August 2024 um 14:47

Fed to signal timing of first interest rate cut as inflation slows TheStreet Daily Newsletter

Economy
Finance
The Federal Reserve faces a communication challenge as it signals the timing of the first interest rate cut amid slowing inflation. Market expectations for Fed rate cuts have fluctuated, with the economy showing mixed signals - slowing Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation but resilient GDP growth and labor market. The Fed must balance signaling a September rate cut while explaining why no cut is warranted now. Factors like the 3-month core PCE inflation, unemployment, and strong Q2 GDP..
The Street
1. August 2024 um 19:45

Goldman Sachs's Solomon shifts rate view before Fed meeting ends TheStreet Daily Newsletter

Economy
Finance
Lower rates mean less income from bonds/accounts but also lower loan payments for consumers; experts split on Fed's next move amid easing inflation and slowing economy.
EL PAÍS
31. Juli 2024 um 03:25

Keys to not getting lost in the avalanche of central banks: investors look to the Fed

Economy
Finance
Politics
Operators delay the first rate cut in the US until September. Investors are packing their bags to go on vacation in the hope that no unexpected events will ruin their long-awaited rest. But before they close the door, the meetings of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will be analyzed with a magnifying glass. Monetary policy decisions have become, along with artificial intelligence, the great engines of the market. The main course will be served by the US central ba..
Yahoo Finance
31. Juli 2024 um 17:08

Stocks Rise as Focus Shifts to Fed After BOJ Hike: Markets Wrap

Finance
Economy
Politics
Stocks rebounded as traders shifted focus to the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike and the potential for the Federal Reserve to turn dovish. In commodities, oil extended gains after Hamas said Israel killed its political leader, stoking tensions in a region that produces around a third of the world's crude. If the Fed is about to begin a rate cutting cycle, stock bulls have history on their side, with the S&P 500 rising an average 5% a year after the first cut.
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