Kamala Harris is leading battleground polls, surpassing Biden, while Trump faces scrutiny over Twitter events and FBI probes. Harris leads on managing the economy but Trump is preferred for personal finances.
She outperforms Trump among young voters, gaining significant support in core constituencies. In the 2024 election, Harris holds narrow leads in Rust Belt swing states, while Trump retains strength in the Sun Belt.
Polls suggest a close race with Harris leading nationally by 2-3 points. The Silver Bulletin model projects a 55% chance of a Harris victory, with the winner likely determined by seven key swing states.
Harris is strategically differentiating herself from Biden in policy, as Trump campaign material is leaked to news outlets, creating further intrigue in the race.
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