2024-10-13 23:55:10

China's Economic Challenges and Policy Missteps

China's economy faces significant structural challenges exacerbated by recent rate cuts, which may deepen deflation and hinder recovery. Weak consumer demand, stemming from a burst property bubble, contributes to a cycle of falling prices and rising insolvency.

Rapid credit growth and aggressive pricing strategies destabilize markets, while government stimulus focuses on supply-side measures, neglecting vital demand-side support. The emphasis on state-led industrial policies overlooks the need for comprehensive economic reforms.

Experts argue that the current strategy signals a reluctance to implement necessary changes. As China grapples with these complexities, the global response to its cheap exports poses further risks, highlighting the urgent need for a balanced and sustainable economic approach.

Yahoo Finance
12. Oktober 2024 um 19:03

China’s rate cuts may actually worsen the economy

Economy
Politics
Finance
China's economy plagued by structural problems: rate cuts worsen deflation; weak demand as households reluctant to spend after property bubble burst; industrial overcapacity and 'doom loop' of falling prices, insolvency, and job losses. Rapid credit/monetary growth, intense price competition, and e-commerce commoditization destabilize markets. Government stimulus prioritizes supply-side, neglecting demand-side fiscal transfers. Cheap exports create global backlash, while priority sectors sell..
The Guardian
13. Oktober 2024 um 12:52

China’s plan to boost flagging growth is the very definition of economic insanity

Economy
Politics
Finance
While China has achieved technological dominance in certain key firms and sectors, these "islands" exist in a sea of macroeconomic imbalances and troubles that can only be addressed through more liberal and open economic reforms, not the government's current focus on state-led industrial policies. The current economic policy focus is a signal of whether the government can or wants to undertake the necessary structural changes.
Global Economy - South China Morning Post
13. Oktober 2024 um 22:00

Exclusive | Economist Joseph Stiglitz on the US-China trade war and the death of ‘hyper-globalisation’

Economy
Politics
Economist Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel laureate and former Clinton/World Bank advisor, criticizes the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, which he says worsened inflation from Covid-19 and the Ukraine war by hindering housing investments, rather than addressing excess demand. He praises the Fed's recent rate cut as the right move to support the robust US economy, and discusses the economic implications of the upcoming presidential election between Trump and Harris.
CW

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