The Unpredictable US Election 2024

As the 2024 US presidential election looms, the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump remains unpredictable. Recent polls suggest a tight contest in key swing states like Arizona and Nevada, with both candidates drawing support from different demographic groups. Harris leads among women, Latinos, and younger voters, while Trump finds backing among men. However, a significant portion of the electorate views both candidates as untrustworthy.

The unpredictability of this election is compounded by a divided electorate, marked by stark differences in opinions across gender and identity lines. This division makes forecasting difficult for pollsters, especially given past inaccuracies in predicting Trump's support. The election's outcome remains open, with potential delays in results due to mail-in ballots.

On the international front, Harris receives substantial support from Western Europe, whereas Trump's policies find favor in some Eastern European countries. Regardless of the winner, the US is expected to adopt a more inward-focused economic approach, prompting the EU to assume greater responsibilities in security and defense.

With days to go, both candidates emphasize their contrasting visions for America, amid a deeply polarized political landscape.