2024-10-30 23:55:09
Election
Politics
USA

The Unpredictable US Election 2024

Image courtesy of : AFP (JIM WATSON)

As the 2024 US presidential election looms, the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump remains unpredictable. Recent polls suggest a tight contest in key swing states like Arizona and Nevada, with both candidates drawing support from different demographic groups. Harris leads among women, Latinos, and younger voters, while Trump finds backing among men. However, a significant portion of the electorate views both candidates as untrustworthy.

The unpredictability of this election is compounded by a divided electorate, marked by stark differences in opinions across gender and identity lines. This division makes forecasting difficult for pollsters, especially given past inaccuracies in predicting Trump's support. The election's outcome remains open, with potential delays in results due to mail-in ballots.

On the international front, Harris receives substantial support from Western Europe, whereas Trump's policies find favor in some Eastern European countries. Regardless of the winner, the US is expected to adopt a more inward-focused economic approach, prompting the EU to assume greater responsibilities in security and defense.

With days to go, both candidates emphasize their contrasting visions for America, amid a deeply polarized political landscape.

Frankfurter Rundschau
29. Oktober 2024 um 15:23

US Election 2024: Harris or Trump? Polls Offer No Prediction

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The US election 2024 between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is difficult to predict, as about 20% of voters did not participate in previous elections and poll results often deviated from the actual election outcomes, as seen in 2016 and 2020. Trump was underestimated, while the Democrats performed better in the 2022 midterms.
Al Jazeera
30. Oktober 2024 um 18:42

US Election 2024 A simple guide to the US election 2024

Politics
2024 US election: voters select electors who vote for president; Democrats, Republicans, and third-party candidates compete in primaries; Harris vs. Trump; delayed results possible, contingent election if no 270 electoral votes.
tz
30. Oktober 2024 um 20:15

US Election on a Knife Edge: Harris and Trump Tied in These Swing States According to Polls

Politics
Neck-and-neck race between Harris and Trump in the swing states of Arizona and Nevada; Results within the margin of error, no clear winner; Many voters have already cast their ballots early.
Frankfurter Rundschau
30. Oktober 2024 um 20:36

US Election Polls: Pollsters Report - 'People Shouted 'Trump' at Us'

Polls for the 2020 US election underestimated Trump voters; pollsters report a refusal to participate in surveys; weighting of responses is crucial, but uncertainty about the electorate remains; the possibility that 'shy Harris voters' may distort polls; experts warn against focusing on the weighting of Republican voters; the Pew Research Center warns against overinterpreting poll results; secret voting could favor 'shy Harris voters'; Harris's campaign team releases an advertisement on the to..
CW

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