The upcoming US election is poised to have significant repercussions for Europe, as political analyst Sirakov warns of divergent paths based on the election outcome. A victory for Trump may usher in a brand of transactional politics characterized by harsh rhetoric and a troubling approach to security guarantees, particularly regarding Russia.
Conversely, Kamala Harris could lead to a neglect of defense policy, although she is expected to uphold the Western community of values and support for Ukraine. Regardless of who emerges victorious, the focus of US foreign policy is likely to pivot towards China.
Trump’s apparent indifference to NATO and the Western values is concerning, and his potential lack of support for Ukraine could lead to a dictated peace favoring Russia. Manfred Weber, EVP Chief, emphasizes the need for a 'Plan B' for Ukraine, especially if Trump wins, fearing a potential withdrawal of US military support.
He advocates for Europe to bolster Ukraine’s defense capabilities, such as supplying advanced weaponry, to mitigate threats. The polarization within American politics and society, which has been a persistent issue, is unlikely to diminish, further complicating Europe’s response to the evolving geopolitical landscape.
As the election approaches, the implications for European security and international alliances remain a pressing concern.
