2024-11-08 17:55:08
Politics
USA
Economy

Trump's Unexpected Triumph in the 2024 Election

In a stunning turn of events, Donald Trump has secured victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, defying polling predictions that suggested a tight race. Winning 295 Electoral College votes, including critical swing states like Nevada and Wisconsin, Trump triumphed by nearly five million in the popular vote.

Pollsters once again underestimated Trump's support, a trend that has emerged in previous elections, primarily due to difficulties in accurately reaching his voter base. As economic issues dominated the campaign, many voters viewed Trump as more capable of handling the economy, particularly amid President Biden's low approval ratings.

The prediction landscape has shifted, with betting markets proving to be more reliable than traditional polls. Analysts are now dissecting the Democratic campaign's failures, highlighting Kamala Harris's inability to distance herself from an unpopular Biden administration.

This election not only reshapes the political landscape but also poses significant implications for economic policies, consumer confidence, and the housing market as America braces for another Trump presidency.

sueddeutsche
7. November 2024 um 15:40

2024 US Election: Trump Surprises Again for the Third Time

Politics
Nate Silver, a well-known statistician, correctly predicted many election results in 2008. Like poker players, he relies on experience, but presidential elections only take place every four years. In 2012, Barack Obama exceeded the polls. Despite uncertainties in the polls, Donald Trump was able to win surprisingly clearly against Kamala Harris in 2024. In the swing states, especially Wisconsin, Trump's result was within the "margin of error", while he was ahead in North Carolina in 2020. The..
Al Jazeera
8. November 2024 um 09:55

US Election 2024 US election results: How did opinion polls undercount Trump voters again?

Politics
Trump wins US presidential election, defying polls that predicted a close race. He wins 295 Electoral College votes, including 5 key swing states, and the popular vote by nearly 5 million votes. Pollsters underestimate Trump's support, continuing a trend of inaccuracy in recent elections, partly due to challenges in reaching Trump supporters. Betting markets provide more accurate predictions, with Polymarket stating the power of prediction markets over polls, media, and pundits.
Frankfurter Rundschau
8. November 2024 um 14:55

Completely surprised by Trump's victory: Forecast Pope is wrong for the first time in the US election

Politics
Election researcher Allan J. Lichtman, known as the "Forecast Pope", was wrong in his prediction for the US election. He had expected a victory for Kamala Harris, but was surprised by the success of Donald Trump.
Al Jazeera
8. November 2024 um 13:08

US Election 2024 Backers of incumbent accuse US voters of racism, sexism for electing felon

Politics
The deeply conservative nation where women's rights are increasingly under attack and child marriage is widespread has made a "perilous choice" as its fragile democracy is now on "a precarious course".
CW

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