Global equities soared in 2024 due to advancements in generative AI and a recovering global economy. As we look to 2025, easing inflation and lower interest rates are expected to sustain market momentum, aided by continued tax cuts. Bitcoin, having rallied recently, is witnessing increased mainstream adoption, though risks tied to debt, tariffs, and a stronger dollar loom large.
President-Elect Trump's trade policies, particularly tariffs, might disadvantage China and the eurozone, potentially heightening US inflation and prompting shifts in Federal Reserve policy. The tech giants, known as the 'Magnificent Seven,' could see their dominance challenged by unexpected recessions and persistent inflation.
Moreover, a wave of mergers and acquisitions is anticipated, spurred by relaxed regulations and favorable credit conditions, alongside an influx of IPOs in the equity market. The economic landscape remains uncertain, with geopolitical tensions and fiscal policy changes adding volatility. Investors are advised to remain cautious, diversify, and focus on robust business models within the technology sector, while considering emerging opportunities in data centers and energy. As the global economy navigates these complexities, strategic positioning will be key to capitalizing on market opportunities.
