Austria faces a potential coalition between the far-right Freedom Party (FPÖ) and the conservative Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) after recent political upheavals. The resignation of Chancellor Karl Nehammer has opened the door for discussions, as the ÖVP shows willingness to negotiate with the FPÖ, led by Herbert Kickl. President Alexander Van der Bellen, previously opposed to forming a government with Kickl, is now meeting him to discuss options following failed coalition talks with the Social Democrats (SPÖ) and the liberal Neos.
The FPÖ, emerging as the largest parliamentary force in recent elections, seeks to consolidate power, despite previous controversies. Kickl, known for his hardline stance on migration and eurosceptic views, has expressed his ambition to become chancellor. This potential government formation raises concerns about Austria aligning with a Russia-friendly, eurosceptic bloc, which could include Hungary and Slovakia.
Past ÖVP-FPÖ coalitions have been tumultuous, with the 2017 'Ibiza affair' leading to the collapse of the government. Despite these challenges, the ÖVP's economic wing sees an opportunity for aggressive reforms amidst Austria's economic struggles. However, significant differences remain on EU and foreign policy.
The situation remains delicate, with Van der Bellen cautious about maintaining Austria's democratic fundamentals. A veto against Kickl as chancellor could lead to a constitutional crisis, potentially strengthening the FPÖ's position in future elections. The international community, particularly in Europe, watches closely as Austria navigates this uncertain political terrain.
