How Will the U.S. Government Shutdown Affect Long-Term Economic Growth?
The ongoing U.S. government shutdown raises significant concerns about its economic implications. While economists predict a limited immediate impact, there are warnings about potential long-term effects.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates a minor GDP decline, with a potential loss of 0.1-0.2 percentage points in weekly growth, affecting numerous federal employees. Up to 750,000 workers may face furlough, which could strain low-income households and hinder job creation.
Financial markets have shown unexpected resilience, with the S&P 500 achieving record highs, despite political uncertainties. Social Security and Medicare payments remain unaffected, ensuring that essential benefits continue, although disruptions to other services may inconvenience retirees.
As negotiations stall, the political divide remains stark, complicating the path forward. While some sectors, including cryptocurrency, express optimism, the overall economic landscape reflects cautious vigilance amid the shutdown's unfolding consequences.
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