2025-10-15 22:55:10
Economy

IMF Lowers Global Growth Forecast Amid US-China Trade War Concerns

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has adjusted its global GDP growth forecast to 3.2% for the year, emphasizing that trade tensions and protectionist measures cloud the economic outlook. The ongoing US-China trade war poses a significant threat, with concerns about its long-term impacts on global growth.

The IMF points to factors such as the potential slowdown in US growth due to immigration policies and the repercussions of tariffs, which have prompted businesses to adjust their strategies. Meanwhile, international tourism to the US is declining as Australians, among others, reconsider their travel plans.

Furthermore, the IMF warns of a looming global debt crisis, projecting that debt could reach 100% of GDP by 2029. This situation is exacerbated by increased borrowing amid geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures. As countries navigate these complexities, it becomes crucial to adopt prudent fiscal policies and strengthen international trade relations to foster stability and growth.

The Guardian
14. Oktober 2025 um 13:00

World economy resilient amid Trump tariffs but outlook looks ‘dim’, says IMF

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has upgraded its global GDP growth forecast to 3.2% for this year, but warns of a 'dim' outlook due to ongoing trade tensions and protectionist policies. The IMF cites the slow-burn impact of Brexit as evidence that dramatic policy shifts take time to affect investment decisions. Concerns include the risk of US growth reduction from immigration crackdowns, 'stretched valuations' in stock markets, and the delayed effects of tariffs.
Southeast Asia - South China Morning Post
15. Oktober 2025 um 12:30

Opinion | Given its rare earth vulnerability, US cannot risk all-out trade war

US President Donald Trump has launched another round of trade confrontation, echoing his previous conflicts. The 2018 trade war aimed to protect domestic industries and revive manufacturing, but data shows China's share of global GDP in PPP terms has risen from 17.3% to 19.3%, while the US share has declined from 15.6% to 14.8%. Research suggests that trade wars harm all participants and larger economies tend to fare better, highlighting the need for a more nuanced approach.
EL PAÍS
15. Oktober 2025 um 12:45

Global debt to reach record level in 2029: IMF

The global debt is projected to reach 100% of GDP by 2029, warns the FMI. Countries like Canada, China, France, Italy, Japan, and the UK have substantial debt burdens. Emerging economies face challenges despite lower debt levels due to limited policy options and access to financing. The pandemic, Russian invasion, and Trump's trade war led to increased spending and borrowing, exacerbating inflation rates. Governments must prioritize fiscal policy and build reserves to mitigate potential crises,..
Thế giới - VnExpress
15. Oktober 2025 um 12:45

Hệ lụy của thương chiến Mỹ - Trung với thế giới

The US-China trade war is exacerbating global economic slowdown, with IMF predicting 3.1% growth by 2026. Beijing's retaliatory measures include export restrictions on rare earth minerals and other key materials. Meanwhile, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has sought to distance India from the conflict by strengthening ties with China, while countries like Mexico reorient their trade relationships.
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