Union's Internal Struggle Over Coalition Prospects

The German political landscape is witnessing a significant internal debate within the Union parties over potential alliances with the Greens. Markus Söder, the CSU leader, has firmly opposed any coalition with the Greens, reiterating his stance at various public forums, including the ARD-Sommerinterview. His rejection is a strategic move aimed at consolidating the conservative base, especially in Bavaria, where the CSU collaborates with the Greens on regional matters but publicly criticizes them.

In contrast, many within the CDU, including prominent figures like Friedrich Merz, signal a more pragmatic approach. They view the Greens as part of the democratic center and keep coalition doors ajar, a stance driven by political necessity and tactical flexibility. This divergence highlights a broader strategic dilemma: balancing ideological purity with the practicalities of coalition politics.

The CDU's openness to dialogue with the Greens is supported by the majority of its state associations, reflecting successful regional collaborations in states like North Rhine-Westphalia and Schleswig-Holstein. These coalitions have managed to work effectively, even bringing joint initiatives to the Bundesrat.

The internal rift is also influenced by electoral dynamics. With the Bundestag elections approaching, the Union must consider viable coalition partners to ensure governance capability. The CDU leadership hopes that once Söder faces the realities of post-election negotiations in 2025, he might reconsider his stance.

This ongoing debate within the Union underscores the complexities of coalition politics in Germany, where ideological differences must be reconciled with strategic imperatives to maintain political relevance and power.