2025-06-23 12:29:09
Economy
China
USA

Could Iran's Closure of the Strait of Hormuz Trigger Global Economic Chaos?

Image courtesy of : AFP (JACK GUEZ)

The escalating tensions between the United States and Iran have raised significant global concerns, particularly around the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This strategic waterway is crucial, handling about 20% of the world's oil supply. Any disruption could lead to a dramatic spike in oil prices and trigger a global economic crisis. The recent conflict, sparked by US military strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, has led Iran's parliament to consider closing the strait as a retaliatory measure. Such a move would not only affect oil prices but also have far-reaching impacts on global trade and inflation, particularly in Asia.

China, a major stakeholder in the region, has urged for de-escalation, highlighting the severe risks a blockade would pose to the global economy. As one of Iran’s key economic partners, China has criticized the US for its actions and is advocating for diplomatic solutions, including a cease-fire and peace negotiations through the UN. Despite this, the situation has resulted in volatile oil prices and has affected stock markets worldwide.

International voices, including US Senator Marco Rubio, have called on China to use its influence to dissuade Iran from blocking the strait. Meanwhile, shipping companies remain on high alert, with China requiring vessels in the area to report their movements for safety reasons. Amidst these tensions, there are fears that the conflict may shift economic advantages towards China, as the US becomes increasingly entangled in Middle Eastern conflicts. The situation continues to be closely monitored, with global markets bracing for potential disruptions.

World - South China Morning Post
23. Juni 2025 um 11:25

China calls for de-escalation in Israel-Iran war, warns of risks to global economy

China's Foreign Ministry urged international de-escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict, warning that a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could damage global economy. The strait handles 20% of global oil and gas flows, and analysts fear a blockage would lead to dramatically increased oil prices, risking an energy and trade crisis. China's comments follow Iran's parliament approving a measure to close the strait in response to US military strikes on its nuclear facilities.
EL PAÍS
23. Juni 2025 um 09:21

Why closing the Strait of Hormuz would be an atomic bomb for the oil market

Closing the Strait of Hormuz, through which a quarter of the world's crude oil passes, would be catastrophic for the global economy and oil market. Iran's threat to shut down the strait following US strikes on its nuclear facilities could push prices above $100 a barrel, causing widespread inflation and damage to the global economy. The closure would severely impact countries reliant on oil exports from the Middle East, particularly Asia, and affect other raw materials like agricultural fertil..
EL PAÍS
23. Juni 2025 um 18:05

No shock in markets: Why investors ignore the escalation of war after US attack on Iran

Market reactions to the US attack on Iran are being closely monitored, with a focus on potential disruptions to oil trade through the Strait of Hormuz. The EIA estimates that 84% of crude and condensate passing through the Strait in 2024 was bound for Asian markets. Manuel Pinto notes that the incertitude is the new normal for markets, living with geopolitical tension. Oil prices and global trade are still under scrutiny, with experts weighing the risks.
AFP
23. Juni 2025 um 07:10

Rubio: China Should Stop Iran From Blocking the Strait of Hormuz

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called on China to stop Iran from blocking the Strait of Hormuz. The sea route is crucial for trade and transports about one-fifth of the world's daily oil production.
CW

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